Which party would south east Londoners vote for if an election were held tomorrow?
Recent polling data suggests that if voters took to the ballot tomorrow, Reform UK could emerge as the largest party in the House of Commons, making Nigel Farage Prime Minister.
Share your view in the News Shopper poll below.
In south east London, Labour currently holds the majority of seats, including Lewisham East, Lewisham North, Lewisham West and East Dulwich, Greenwich and Woolwich, Eltham and Chislehurst, Erith and Thamesmead, Beckenham and Penge, and Bexleyheath and Crayford.
The Conservative Party hold power in Bromley and Biggin Hill, Orpington, and Old Bexley and Sidcup.
According to the latest YouGov MRP model, Reform UK is projected to secure 311 seats, which is just 15 short of an outright majority.
This marks a huge gain from their previous count of 271 seats and shows a shift in voter allegiance, particularly from traditional Labour strongholds.
In contrast, Labour’s seat count is projected to plummet to 144, a dramatic decline from their 2024 performance.
The Conservatives are also facing challenges, with their seat count expected to fall to 45.
Today (October 7), it was reported that twenty Conservative councillors have defected to Reform UK.
This shift reflects broader national trends, with Reform UK leading in national polls, surpassing both Labour and the Conservatives.
Prime Minister Keir Starmer is very unpopular right now, with only 21 per cent of voters saying they have a favourable view of him, according to a YouGov poll from September 2025.
This marks one of the lowest ratings for a sitting UK prime minister in recent decades.
Meanwhile, Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch is also unpopular, with only 19 per cent of voters viewing her positively.
Reform UK leader Nigel Farage is slightly more popular, with 30 per cent of voters giving him a positive rating.
The next UK general election must be held by August 15, 2029, at the latest.
However, it could take place earlier if the Prime Minister requests an early election with the backing of two-thirds of MPs.
An early election could also happen if the government loses a vote of no confidence in the House of Commons and no alternative government can be formed within 14 days.
